Back to 2021 upsets

Historical upset · 2021
Dayton at Riverdale
November 6, 2021
Final · Oregon boys soccer

Riverdale
3A/2A/1A
Home – Away
1–2

Dayton
3A/2A/1A
Dayton won with a 10.4% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 81.7%Draw 8.0%Away 10.3%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.