HomeUpsets

Biggest Historical Upsets

Final games ranked by the winning team's stored pregame win probability. Chronological backtests use only information available before that game. These probabilities are OregonSportsRanking analytics, not official OSAA predictions.

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

Central CatholicAway

SunsetHome

Final 1-21.9% chanceCentral Catholic win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

Hood River ValleyAway

PutnamHome

Final 1-31.9% chanceHood River Valley win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

WilsonvilleAway

West LinnHome

Final 1-31.9% chanceWilsonville win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

Brookings-HarborAway

Coquille / Myrtle PointHome

Final 0-61.9% chanceBrookings-Harbor win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

South EugeneAway

South MedfordHome

Final 1-31.9% chanceSouth Eugene win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

Del NorteAway

Illinois ValleyHome

Final 2-111.9% chanceDel Norte win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

BeavertonAway

Forest GroveHome

Final 0-21.9% chanceBeaverton win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

HillsboroAway

LibertyHome

Final 0-11.9% chanceHillsboro win

2013-09-03Chronological backtest

ThurstonAway

RedmondHome

Final 1-71.9% chanceThurston win

2013-11-05Chronological backtest

Cottage GroveAway

Brookings-HarborHome

Final 1-25.2% chanceCottage Grove win

2013-09-12Chronological backtest

UmatillaAway

CulverHome

Final 2-37.7% chanceUmatilla win

2013-10-22Chronological backtest

LakeviewAway

Cascade ChristianHome

Final 2-18.7% chanceCascade Christian win

2013-11-02Chronological backtest

CentralAway

TillamookHome

Final 2-19.4% chanceTillamook win

2013-10-17Chronological backtest

Central CatholicAway

CentennialHome

Final 2-110.5% chanceCentennial win

2013-11-09Chronological backtest

St. Mary's, MedfordAway

RiverdaleHome

Final 0-110.9% chanceSt. Mary's, Medford win

2013-10-18Chronological backtest

La GrandeAway

OntarioHome

Final 1-211.0% chanceLa Grande win

2013-10-23Chronological backtest

ElmiraAway

Junction CityHome

Final 1-211.5% chanceElmira win

2013-11-09Chronological backtest

PhilomathAway

StaytonHome

Final 0-111.5% chancePhilomath win

2013-11-05Chronological backtest

SilvertonAway

WilsonHome

Final 1-211.6% chanceSilverton win

2013-10-25Chronological backtest

SummitAway

SistersHome

Final 0-211.9% chanceSummit win

2013-09-19Chronological backtest

LincolnAway

NewbergHome

Final 0-212.2% chanceLincoln win

2013-10-29Chronological backtest

Klamath UnionAway

North ValleyHome

Final 0-113.0% chanceKlamath Union win

2013-09-26Chronological backtest

ReynoldsAway

David DouglasHome

Final 1-213.5% chanceReynolds win

2013-10-17Chronological backtest

HenleyAway

Klamath UnionHome

Final 2-113.8% chanceKlamath Union win

2013-09-18Chronological backtest

LebanonAway

Milwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the ArtsHome

Final 1-015.0% chanceMilwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the Arts win

2013-09-11Chronological backtest

PutnamAway

La Salle PrepHome

Final 0-116.1% chancePutnam win

2013-09-25Chronological backtest

Illinois ValleyAway

GlideHome

Final 2-516.7% chanceIllinois Valley win

2013-09-26Chronological backtest

BensonAway

The Dalles / DufurHome

Final 2-317.2% chanceBenson win

2013-09-14Chronological backtest

FruitlandAway

OntarioHome

Final 1-217.6% chanceFruitland win

2013-10-21Chronological backtest

ChurchillAway

MaristHome

Final 1-218.1% chanceChurchill win

2013-11-05Chronological backtest

CenturyAway

North MedfordHome

Final 2-318.8% chanceCentury win

2013-09-11Chronological backtest

NewportAway

TillamookHome

Final 2-119.2% chanceTillamook win

2013-10-01Chronological backtest

McMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char.Away

NewbergHome

Final 1-419.5% chanceMcMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char. win

2013-09-12Chronological backtest

MaristAway

LebanonHome

Final 1-319.7% chanceMarist win

2013-10-07Chronological backtest

Catlin GabelAway

Portland ChristianHome

Final 0-319.7% chanceCatlin Gabel win

2013-09-05Chronological backtest

RidgeviewAway

MazamaHome

Final 1-220.0% chanceRidgeview win

2013-11-02Chronological backtest

NewbergAway

SunsetHome

Final 0-120.4% chanceNewberg win

2013-11-02Chronological backtest

SheldonAway

Grants PassHome

Final 0-120.6% chanceSheldon win

2013-09-21Chronological backtest

St. Mary's, MedfordAway

CreswellHome

Final 0-420.8% chanceSt. Mary's, Medford win

2013-10-15Chronological backtest

ParkroseAway

PutnamHome

Final 2-120.8% chancePutnam win

2013-09-19Chronological backtest

Columbia ChristianAway

Open Door Christian Acad.Home

Final 1-420.9% chanceColumbia Christian win

2013-09-07Chronological backtest

North SalemAway

RooseveltHome

Final 3-520.9% chanceNorth Salem win

2013-11-02Chronological backtest

McMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char.Away

David DouglasHome

Final 1-221.0% chanceMcMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char. win

2013-11-05Chronological backtest

PutnamAway

South AlbanyHome

Final 1-221.2% chancePutnam win

2013-10-08Chronological backtest

LincolnAway

GrantHome

Final 1-221.2% chanceLincoln win

2013-10-15Chronological backtest

Lake OswegoAway

ClackamasHome

Final 4-321.3% chanceClackamas win

2013-09-13Chronological backtest

De La Salle North CatholicAway

Blanchet CatholicHome

Final 1-221.4% chanceDe La Salle North Catholic win

2013-11-02Chronological backtest

Forest GroveAway

Lake OswegoHome

Final 0-321.6% chanceForest Grove win

2013-09-26Chronological backtest

WilsonvilleAway

Hood River ValleyHome

Final 2-321.6% chanceWilsonville win

2013-09-05Chronological backtest

LakeviewAway

HenleyHome

Final 0-121.7% chanceLakeview win

Date	Match	Final	Underdog winner	Pregame chance	Source
2013-09-03	Central Catholic at Sunset	1-2	Central Catholic	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	Hood River Valley at Putnam	1-3	Hood River Valley	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	Wilsonville at West Linn	1-3	Wilsonville	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	Brookings-Harbor at Coquille / Myrtle Point	0-6	Brookings-Harbor	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	South Eugene at South Medford	1-3	South Eugene	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	Del Norte at Illinois Valley	2-11	Del Norte	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	Beaverton at Forest Grove	0-2	Beaverton	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	Hillsboro at Liberty	0-1	Hillsboro	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-03	Thurston at Redmond	1-7	Thurston	1.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-05	Cottage Grove at Brookings-Harbor	1-2	Cottage Grove	5.2%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-12	Umatilla at Culver	2-3	Umatilla	7.7%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-22	Lakeview at Cascade Christian	2-1	Cascade Christian	8.7%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-02	Central at Tillamook	2-1	Tillamook	9.4%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-17	Central Catholic at Centennial	2-1	Centennial	10.5%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-09	St. Mary's, Medford at Riverdale	0-1	St. Mary's, Medford	10.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-18	La Grande at Ontario	1-2	La Grande	11.0%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-23	Elmira at Junction City	1-2	Elmira	11.5%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-09	Philomath at Stayton	0-1	Philomath	11.5%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-05	Silverton at Wilson	1-2	Silverton	11.6%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-25	Summit at Sisters	0-2	Summit	11.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-19	Lincoln at Newberg	0-2	Lincoln	12.2%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-29	Klamath Union at North Valley	0-1	Klamath Union	13.0%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-26	Reynolds at David Douglas	1-2	Reynolds	13.5%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-17	Henley at Klamath Union	2-1	Klamath Union	13.8%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-18	Lebanon at Milwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the Arts	1-0	Milwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the Arts	15.0%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-11	Putnam at La Salle Prep	0-1	Putnam	16.1%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-25	Illinois Valley at Glide	2-5	Illinois Valley	16.7%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-26	Benson at The Dalles / Dufur	2-3	Benson	17.2%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-14	Fruitland at Ontario	1-2	Fruitland	17.6%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-21	Churchill at Marist	1-2	Churchill	18.1%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-05	Century at North Medford	2-3	Century	18.8%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-11	Newport at Tillamook	2-1	Tillamook	19.2%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-01	McMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char. at Newberg	1-4	McMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char.	19.5%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-12	Marist at Lebanon	1-3	Marist	19.7%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-07	Catlin Gabel at Portland Christian	0-3	Catlin Gabel	19.7%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-05	Ridgeview at Mazama	1-2	Ridgeview	20.0%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-02	Newberg at Sunset	0-1	Newberg	20.4%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-02	Sheldon at Grants Pass	0-1	Sheldon	20.6%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-21	St. Mary's, Medford at Creswell	0-4	St. Mary's, Medford	20.8%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-15	Parkrose at Putnam	2-1	Putnam	20.8%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-19	Columbia Christian at Open Door Christian Acad.	1-4	Columbia Christian	20.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-07	North Salem at Roosevelt	3-5	North Salem	20.9%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-02	McMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char. at David Douglas	1-2	McMinnville / Sheridan Japanese Char.	21.0%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-05	Putnam at South Albany	1-2	Putnam	21.2%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-08	Lincoln at Grant	1-2	Lincoln	21.2%	Chronological backtest
2013-10-15	Lake Oswego at Clackamas	4-3	Clackamas	21.3%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-13	De La Salle North Catholic at Blanchet Catholic	1-2	De La Salle North Catholic	21.4%	Chronological backtest
2013-11-02	Forest Grove at Lake Oswego	0-3	Forest Grove	21.6%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-26	Wilsonville at Hood River Valley	2-3	Wilsonville	21.6%	Chronological backtest
2013-09-05	Lakeview at Henley	0-1	Lakeview	21.7%	Chronological backtest