HomeUpsets

Biggest Historical Upsets

Final games ranked by the winning team's stored pregame win probability. Chronological backtests use only information available before that game. These probabilities are OregonSportsRanking analytics, not official OSAA predictions.

2014-10-22Chronological backtest

CraterAway

Cascade ChristianHome

Final 0-10.6% chanceCrater win

2014-09-30Chronological backtest

ParkroseAway

St. HelensHome

Final 5-11.5% chanceSt. Helens win

2014-09-19Chronological backtest

Christian BrothersAway

JesuitHome

Final 0-12.5% chanceChristian Brothers win

2014-09-19Chronological backtest

Christian Brothers (CA)Away

JesuitHome

Final 0-12.5% chanceChristian Brothers (CA) win

2014-10-25Chronological backtest

Klamath UnionAway

MazamaHome

Final 2-12.8% chanceMazama win

2014-09-25Chronological backtest

Horizon Christian, Hood RiverAway

Trout Lake - Glenwood (WA)Home

Final 2-43.4% chanceHorizon Christian, Hood River win

2014-10-20Chronological backtest

Junction CityAway

Central LinnHome

Final 4-14.0% chanceCentral Linn win

2014-09-26Chronological backtest

TaftAway

Salem Acad.Home

Final 2-04.2% chanceSalem Acad. win

2014-10-21Chronological backtest

SpringfieldAway

North EugeneHome

Final 1-04.8% chanceNorth Eugene win

2014-09-27Chronological backtest

North Bend / Oregon Coast TechnologyAway

Pacific / BandonHome

Final 2-04.9% chancePacific / Bandon win

2014-11-05Chronological backtest

Grants PassAway

South EugeneHome

Final 0-14.9% chanceGrants Pass win

2014-09-22Chronological backtest

PhoenixAway

Klamath UnionHome

Final 2-35.6% chancePhoenix win

2014-10-04Chronological backtest

SpringfieldAway

Eagle PointHome

Final 0-15.9% chanceSpringfield win

2014-10-28Chronological backtest

BendAway

SistersHome

Final 0-16.2% chanceBend win

2014-09-22Chronological backtest

Crosshill ChristianAway

Central ChristianHome

Final 2-46.4% chanceCrosshill Christian win

2014-10-13Chronological backtest

OntarioAway

McLoughlinHome

Final 1-06.4% chanceMcLoughlin win

2014-11-08Chronological backtest

Grants PassAway

David DouglasHome

Final 0-16.5% chanceGrants Pass win

2014-11-05Chronological backtest

DelphianAway

UmatillaHome

Final 0-26.8% chanceDelphian win

2014-10-18Chronological backtest

St. Mary's, MedfordAway

Canyonville Christian Acad.Home

Final 1-07.0% chanceCanyonville Christian Acad. win

2014-09-25Chronological backtest

Horizon Christian, Hood RiverAway

Trout Lake - GlenwoodHome

Final 2-47.8% chanceHorizon Christian, Hood River win

2014-09-09Chronological backtest

Pleasant HillAway

Cottage GroveHome

Final 1-38.5% chancePleasant Hill win

2014-09-20Chronological backtest

Christian Brothers (CA)Away

De La Salle North CatholicHome

Final 0-68.8% chanceChristian Brothers (CA) win

2014-09-30Chronological backtest

PutnamAway

La Salle PrepHome

Final 1-09.1% chanceLa Salle Prep win

2014-09-29Chronological backtest

McKayAway

SpragueHome

Final 0-19.9% chanceMcKay win

2014-09-20Chronological backtest

Christian BrothersAway

De La Salle North CatholicHome

Final 0-610.0% chanceChristian Brothers win

2014-09-30Chronological backtest

Eagle PointAway

AshlandHome

Final 1-010.2% chanceAshland win

2014-10-06Chronological backtest

HenleyAway

PhoenixHome

Final 1-010.4% chancePhoenix win

2014-10-11Chronological backtest

Columbia ChristianAway

RedmondHome

Final 5-210.5% chanceRedmond win

2014-09-11Chronological backtest

Jesuit (CA)Away

JesuitHome

Final 0-311.0% chanceJesuit (CA) win

2014-11-01Chronological backtest

LebanonAway

ChurchillHome

Final 0-111.0% chanceLebanon win

2014-10-25Chronological backtest

McLoughlinAway

OntarioHome

Final 1-411.2% chanceMcLoughlin win

2014-10-23Chronological backtest

TualatinAway

TigardHome

Final 0-111.6% chanceTualatin win

2014-09-29Chronological backtest

McMinnvilleAway

South SalemHome

Final 1-211.9% chanceMcMinnville win

2014-10-23Chronological backtest

LakeviewAway

Canyonville Christian Acad.Home

Final 4-112.1% chanceCanyonville Christian Acad. win

2014-10-21Chronological backtest

CentralAway

LebanonHome

Final 2-112.1% chanceLebanon win

2014-09-09Chronological backtest

MarshfieldAway

Pacific / BandonHome

Final 2-312.6% chanceMarshfield win

2014-10-15Chronological backtest

ThurstonAway

WillametteHome

Final 1-312.9% chanceThurston win

2014-10-13Chronological backtest

City ChristianAway

Damascus ChristianHome

Final 4-313.0% chanceDamascus Christian win

2014-09-13Chronological backtest

Jesuit (CA)Away

Central CatholicHome

Final 1-313.0% chanceJesuit (CA) win

2014-09-11Chronological backtest

Milo Adventist Acad.Away

RoseburgHome

Final 1-613.3% chanceMilo Adventist Acad. win

2014-09-18Chronological backtest

Forest GroveAway

HillsboroHome

Final 2-313.4% chanceForest Grove win

2014-09-11Chronological backtest

PutnamAway

West SalemHome

Final 0-214.0% chancePutnam win

2014-09-05Chronological backtest

North Clackamas ChristianAway

Portland ChristianHome

Final 1-314.2% chanceNorth Clackamas Christian win

2014-10-17Chronological backtest

AshlandAway

Marist CatholicHome

Final 1-214.4% chanceAshland win

2014-10-10Chronological backtest

RiverdaleAway

Life ChristianHome

Final 2-414.8% chanceRiverdale win

2014-10-10Chronological backtest

AshlandAway

ChurchillHome

Final 3-114.9% chanceChurchill win

2014-10-09Chronological backtest

City ChristianAway

Portland ChristianHome

Final 7-115.8% chancePortland Christian win

2014-10-09Chronological backtest

SunsetAway

GlencoeHome

Final 0-215.9% chanceSunset win

2014-10-07Chronological backtest

SpringfieldAway

Marist CatholicHome

Final 0-115.9% chanceSpringfield win

2014-09-23Chronological backtest

SandyAway

SherwoodHome

Final 2-016.0% chanceSherwood win

Date	Match	Final	Underdog winner	Pregame chance	Source
2014-10-22	Crater at Cascade Christian	0-1	Crater	0.6%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-30	Parkrose at St. Helens	5-1	St. Helens	1.5%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-19	Christian Brothers at Jesuit	0-1	Christian Brothers	2.5%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-19	Christian Brothers (CA) at Jesuit	0-1	Christian Brothers (CA)	2.5%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-25	Klamath Union at Mazama	2-1	Mazama	2.8%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-25	Horizon Christian, Hood River at Trout Lake - Glenwood (WA)	2-4	Horizon Christian, Hood River	3.4%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-20	Junction City at Central Linn	4-1	Central Linn	4.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-26	Taft at Salem Acad.	2-0	Salem Acad.	4.2%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-21	Springfield at North Eugene	1-0	North Eugene	4.8%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-27	North Bend / Oregon Coast Technology at Pacific / Bandon	2-0	Pacific / Bandon	4.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-11-05	Grants Pass at South Eugene	0-1	Grants Pass	4.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-22	Phoenix at Klamath Union	2-3	Phoenix	5.6%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-04	Springfield at Eagle Point	0-1	Springfield	5.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-28	Bend at Sisters	0-1	Bend	6.2%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-22	Crosshill Christian at Central Christian	2-4	Crosshill Christian	6.4%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-13	Ontario at McLoughlin	1-0	McLoughlin	6.4%	Chronological backtest
2014-11-08	Grants Pass at David Douglas	0-1	Grants Pass	6.5%	Chronological backtest
2014-11-05	Delphian at Umatilla	0-2	Delphian	6.8%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-18	St. Mary's, Medford at Canyonville Christian Acad.	1-0	Canyonville Christian Acad.	7.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-25	Horizon Christian, Hood River at Trout Lake - Glenwood	2-4	Horizon Christian, Hood River	7.8%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-09	Pleasant Hill at Cottage Grove	1-3	Pleasant Hill	8.5%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-20	Christian Brothers (CA) at De La Salle North Catholic	0-6	Christian Brothers (CA)	8.8%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-30	Putnam at La Salle Prep	1-0	La Salle Prep	9.1%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-29	McKay at Sprague	0-1	McKay	9.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-20	Christian Brothers at De La Salle North Catholic	0-6	Christian Brothers	10.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-30	Eagle Point at Ashland	1-0	Ashland	10.2%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-06	Henley at Phoenix	1-0	Phoenix	10.4%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-11	Columbia Christian at Redmond	5-2	Redmond	10.5%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-11	Jesuit (CA) at Jesuit	0-3	Jesuit (CA)	11.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-11-01	Lebanon at Churchill	0-1	Lebanon	11.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-25	McLoughlin at Ontario	1-4	McLoughlin	11.2%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-23	Tualatin at Tigard	0-1	Tualatin	11.6%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-29	McMinnville at South Salem	1-2	McMinnville	11.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-23	Lakeview at Canyonville Christian Acad.	4-1	Canyonville Christian Acad.	12.1%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-21	Central at Lebanon	2-1	Lebanon	12.1%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-09	Marshfield at Pacific / Bandon	2-3	Marshfield	12.6%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-15	Thurston at Willamette	1-3	Thurston	12.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-13	City Christian at Damascus Christian	4-3	Damascus Christian	13.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-13	Jesuit (CA) at Central Catholic	1-3	Jesuit (CA)	13.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-11	Milo Adventist Acad. at Roseburg	1-6	Milo Adventist Acad.	13.3%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-18	Forest Grove at Hillsboro	2-3	Forest Grove	13.4%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-11	Putnam at West Salem	0-2	Putnam	14.0%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-05	North Clackamas Christian at Portland Christian	1-3	North Clackamas Christian	14.2%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-17	Ashland at Marist Catholic	1-2	Ashland	14.4%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-10	Riverdale at Life Christian	2-4	Riverdale	14.8%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-10	Ashland at Churchill	3-1	Churchill	14.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-09	City Christian at Portland Christian	7-1	Portland Christian	15.8%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-09	Sunset at Glencoe	0-2	Sunset	15.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-10-07	Springfield at Marist Catholic	0-1	Springfield	15.9%	Chronological backtest
2014-09-23	Sandy at Sherwood	2-0	Sherwood	16.0%	Chronological backtest