HomeUpsets

Biggest Historical Upsets

Final games ranked by the winning team's stored pregame win probability. Chronological backtests use only information available before that game. These probabilities are OregonSportsRanking analytics, not official OSAA predictions.

2019-09-24Chronological backtest

Coquille / Myrtle PointAway

GlideHome

Final 1-01.7% chanceGlide win

2019-10-21Chronological backtest

Hidden ValleyAway

MazamaHome

Final 3-12.1% chanceMazama win

2019-10-15Chronological backtest

TillamookAway

BanksHome

Final 3-22.4% chanceBanks win

2019-10-16Chronological backtest

Canyonville Acad.Away

Rogue RiverHome

Final 3-22.6% chanceRogue River win

2019-10-22Chronological backtest

ChurchillAway

ThurstonHome

Final 2-12.7% chanceThurston win

2019-10-19Chronological backtest

Mannahouse Christian Acad.Away

Columbia ChristianHome

Final 4-53.1% chanceMannahouse Christian Acad. win

2019-10-01Chronological backtest

CentralAway

South AlbanyHome

Final 2-43.2% chanceCentral win

2019-10-12Chronological backtest

La GrandeAway

Baker / Powder ValleyHome

Final 1-03.7% chanceBaker / Powder Valley win

2019-10-24Chronological backtest

North SalemAway

CorvallisHome

Final 2-35.0% chanceNorth Salem win

2019-10-31Chronological backtest

Hood River ValleyAway

The Dalles / DufurHome

Final 3-25.6% chanceThe Dalles / Dufur win

2019-09-23Chronological backtest

GladstoneAway

EstacadaHome

Final 2-45.8% chanceGladstone win

2019-10-31Chronological backtest

RidgeviewAway

PendletonHome

Final 2-05.9% chancePendleton win

2019-09-16Chronological backtest

CenturyAway

AlohaHome

Final 0-25.9% chanceCentury win

2019-10-30Chronological backtest

PaisleyAway

Rogue Valley Adventist Acad.Home

Final 2-06.2% chanceRogue Valley Adventist Acad. win

2019-10-03Chronological backtest

Cottage GroveAway

Junction CityHome

Final 2-16.6% chanceJunction City win

2019-09-28Chronological backtest

Canyonville Acad.Away

Cascade ChristianHome

Final 2-06.6% chanceCascade Christian win

2019-10-22Chronological backtest

SutherlinAway

Umpqua Valley ChristianHome

Final 1-38.2% chanceSutherlin win

2019-10-22Chronological backtest

Damascus ChristianAway

Riverside ChristianHome

Final 5-49.3% chanceRiverside Christian win

2019-09-21Chronological backtest

Grants PassAway

South MedfordHome

Final 1-39.4% chanceGrants Pass win

2019-09-26Chronological backtest

RidgeviewAway

Hood River ValleyHome

Final 3-09.9% chanceHood River Valley win

2019-10-17Chronological backtest

CanbyAway

Lake OswegoHome

Final 0-110.2% chanceCanby win

2019-09-19Chronological backtest

David DouglasAway

McMinnvilleHome

Final 5-210.3% chanceMcMinnville win

2019-10-01Chronological backtest

StaytonAway

CascadeHome

Final 1-010.7% chanceCascade win

2019-10-18Chronological backtest

Grants PassAway

South EugeneHome

Final 0-111.0% chanceGrants Pass win

2019-10-24Chronological backtest

FranklinAway

ClevelandHome

Final 0-111.0% chanceFranklin win

2019-09-19Chronological backtest

Central LinnAway

Santiam ChristianHome

Final 2-311.4% chanceCentral Linn win

2019-09-24Chronological backtest

Cottage GroveAway

MarshfieldHome

Final 1-311.7% chanceCottage Grove win

2019-10-14Chronological backtest

SunsetAway

BeavertonHome

Final 2-113.2% chanceBeaverton win

2019-09-26Chronological backtest

East Linn ChristianAway

CreswellHome

Final 2-313.3% chanceEast Linn Christian win

2019-10-22Chronological backtest

LakeridgeAway

Lake OswegoHome

Final 0-113.5% chanceLakeridge win

2019-09-09Chronological backtest

Four RiversAway

Ukiah / Long CreekHome

Final 1-1013.7% chanceFour Rivers win

2019-10-22Chronological backtest

Crescent ValleyAway

South AlbanyHome

Final 1-314.1% chanceCrescent Valley win

2019-10-03Chronological backtest

Milo Adventist Acad.Away

Portland Adventist Acad.Home

Final 1-214.7% chanceMilo Adventist Acad. win

2019-10-01Chronological backtest

CreswellAway

JeffersonHome

Final 2-014.9% chanceJefferson win

2019-10-01Chronological backtest

Crosshill ChristianAway

SilvertonHome

Final 0-314.9% chanceCrosshill Christian win

2019-09-19Chronological backtest

SpringfieldAway

ThurstonHome

Final 1-015.5% chanceThurston win

2019-10-28Chronological backtest

North Clackamas ChristianAway

Damascus ChristianHome

Final 2-315.8% chanceNorth Clackamas Christian win

2019-09-18Chronological backtest

Illinois ValleyAway

Rogue RiverHome

Final 4-615.8% chanceIllinois Valley win

2019-10-10Chronological backtest

MarshfieldAway

Cottage GroveHome

Final 2-116.0% chanceCottage Grove win

2019-09-17Chronological backtest

Mannahouse Christian Acad.Away

Trout LakeHome

Final 0-916.2% chanceMannahouse Christian Acad. win

2019-10-08Chronological backtest

North MedfordAway

South MedfordHome

Final 1-216.3% chanceNorth Medford win

2019-09-19Chronological backtest

CentralAway

Milwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the ArtsHome

Final 1-216.4% chanceCentral win

2019-10-10Chronological backtest

MountainsideAway

WestviewHome

Final 0-217.1% chanceMountainside win

2019-10-03Chronological backtest

TillamookAway

AstoriaHome

Final 2-117.3% chanceAstoria win

2019-11-12Chronological backtest

FranklinAway

ClevelandHome

Final 1-217.3% chanceFranklin win

2019-09-21Chronological backtest

RooseveltAway

SilvertonHome

Final 7-117.4% chanceSilverton win

2019-11-06Chronological backtest

Umpqua Valley ChristianAway

Santiam ChristianHome

Final 4-117.7% chanceSantiam Christian win

2019-09-24Chronological backtest

CreswellAway

Santiam ChristianHome

Final 2-417.7% chanceCreswell win

2019-10-23Chronological backtest

PaisleyAway

Illinois ValleyHome

Final 2-017.8% chanceIllinois Valley win

2019-10-04Chronological backtest

SummitAway

McNaryHome

Final 1-018.2% chanceMcNary win

Date	Match	Final	Underdog winner	Pregame chance	Source
2019-09-24	Coquille / Myrtle Point at Glide	1-0	Glide	1.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-21	Hidden Valley at Mazama	3-1	Mazama	2.1%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-15	Tillamook at Banks	3-2	Banks	2.4%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-16	Canyonville Acad. at Rogue River	3-2	Rogue River	2.6%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-22	Churchill at Thurston	2-1	Thurston	2.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-19	Mannahouse Christian Acad. at Columbia Christian	4-5	Mannahouse Christian Acad.	3.1%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-01	Central at South Albany	2-4	Central	3.2%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-12	La Grande at Baker / Powder Valley	1-0	Baker / Powder Valley	3.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-24	North Salem at Corvallis	2-3	North Salem	5.0%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-31	Hood River Valley at The Dalles / Dufur	3-2	The Dalles / Dufur	5.6%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-23	Gladstone at Estacada	2-4	Gladstone	5.8%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-31	Ridgeview at Pendleton	2-0	Pendleton	5.9%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-16	Century at Aloha	0-2	Century	5.9%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-30	Paisley at Rogue Valley Adventist Acad.	2-0	Rogue Valley Adventist Acad.	6.2%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-03	Cottage Grove at Junction City	2-1	Junction City	6.6%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-28	Canyonville Acad. at Cascade Christian	2-0	Cascade Christian	6.6%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-22	Sutherlin at Umpqua Valley Christian	1-3	Sutherlin	8.2%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-22	Damascus Christian at Riverside Christian	5-4	Riverside Christian	9.3%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-21	Grants Pass at South Medford	1-3	Grants Pass	9.4%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-26	Ridgeview at Hood River Valley	3-0	Hood River Valley	9.9%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-17	Canby at Lake Oswego	0-1	Canby	10.2%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-19	David Douglas at McMinnville	5-2	McMinnville	10.3%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-01	Stayton at Cascade	1-0	Cascade	10.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-18	Grants Pass at South Eugene	0-1	Grants Pass	11.0%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-24	Franklin at Cleveland	0-1	Franklin	11.0%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-19	Central Linn at Santiam Christian	2-3	Central Linn	11.4%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-24	Cottage Grove at Marshfield	1-3	Cottage Grove	11.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-14	Sunset at Beaverton	2-1	Beaverton	13.2%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-26	East Linn Christian at Creswell	2-3	East Linn Christian	13.3%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-22	Lakeridge at Lake Oswego	0-1	Lakeridge	13.5%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-09	Four Rivers at Ukiah / Long Creek	1-10	Four Rivers	13.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-22	Crescent Valley at South Albany	1-3	Crescent Valley	14.1%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-03	Milo Adventist Acad. at Portland Adventist Acad.	1-2	Milo Adventist Acad.	14.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-01	Creswell at Jefferson	2-0	Jefferson	14.9%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-01	Crosshill Christian at Silverton	0-3	Crosshill Christian	14.9%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-19	Springfield at Thurston	1-0	Thurston	15.5%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-28	North Clackamas Christian at Damascus Christian	2-3	North Clackamas Christian	15.8%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-18	Illinois Valley at Rogue River	4-6	Illinois Valley	15.8%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-10	Marshfield at Cottage Grove	2-1	Cottage Grove	16.0%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-17	Mannahouse Christian Acad. at Trout Lake	0-9	Mannahouse Christian Acad.	16.2%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-08	North Medford at South Medford	1-2	North Medford	16.3%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-19	Central at Milwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the Arts	1-2	Central	16.4%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-10	Mountainside at Westview	0-2	Mountainside	17.1%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-03	Tillamook at Astoria	2-1	Astoria	17.3%	Chronological backtest
2019-11-12	Franklin at Cleveland	1-2	Franklin	17.3%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-21	Roosevelt at Silverton	7-1	Silverton	17.4%	Chronological backtest
2019-11-06	Umpqua Valley Christian at Santiam Christian	4-1	Santiam Christian	17.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-09-24	Creswell at Santiam Christian	2-4	Creswell	17.7%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-23	Paisley at Illinois Valley	2-0	Illinois Valley	17.8%	Chronological backtest
2019-10-04	Summit at McNary	1-0	McNary	18.2%	Chronological backtest